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路基泡沫轻质混凝土抗压强度智能预测模型

Intelligent Prediction Model for Compressive Strength of Roadbed Foam Lightweight Concrete

  • 摘要: 泡沫轻质混凝土的配合比设计与其力学性能间存在复杂的非线性关系,传统经验模型难以实现高精度预测。本研究提出极限梯度提升(XGBoost)混合智能预测模型,将优化算法与集成学习相结合,用于泡沫轻质混凝土抗压强度预测。通过构建包含323组实验数据的多源数据库。以泡沫轻质混凝土密度、水灰比、砂灰比作为预测泡沫轻质混凝土抗压强度的输入,建立了输入参数与抗压强度间的非线性映射关系。其中,80%的样本数据为模型训练集,其余的样本为测试集。区别于传统单一模型方法,本研究构建了包含SVR、BPNN、XGBoost的对比验证体系。模型性能评价结果表明,XGBoost模型在测试集上取得决定系数R2=0.922、均方误差MSE=13.549的预测性能,优于SVR(R2=0.902,MSE=17.435)和BPNN(R2=0.893,MSE=20.031)模型。本研究提出的混合智能建模方法突破了传统经验公式的精度局限,为泡沫轻质混凝土材料的智能化设计与性能预测提供了新的技术路径,具有重要的工程应用价值。

     

    Abstract: The mix design of foam lightweight concrete exhibits complex nonlinear relationships with its mechanical properties, making high-precision prediction challenging for traditional empirical models. This study proposes an XGBoost hybrid intelligent prediction model, integrating optimization algorithms with ensemble learning for compressive strength forecasting. A multi-source database comprising 323 experimental data sets was constructed. Using foam lightweight concrete density, water-cement ratio, and sand-cement ratio as inputs for predicting compressive strength, a nonlinear mapping relationship between input parameters and compressive strength was established. Eighty percent of the sample data served as the model training set, with the remaining samples forming the test set. Unlike traditional single-model approaches, this study constructed a comparative validation system incorporating SVR, BPNN, and XGBoost. Model performance evaluation revealed that the XGBoost model achieved a coefficient of determination R2=0.922 and a mean squared error MSE=13.549 on the test set, significantly outperforming both the SVR (R2=0.902, MSE=17.435) and BPNN (R2=0.893, MSE=20.031) models. The proposed hybrid intelligent modeling approach overcomes the accuracy limitations of traditional empirical formulas, offering a novel technical pathway for the intelligent design and performance prediction of foam lightweight concrete materials. This holds significant engineering application value.

     

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