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基于IPSO-SVM算法的建筑沉降预测研究

Prediction of Building Subsidence Deformation Based on IPSO-SVM Algorithm

  • 摘要: 为了提高建筑沉降预测的准确性,提出了一种基于改进粒子群算法(IPSO)优化支持向量机(SVM)的预测模型(IPSO-SVM)。该方法利用IPSO算法对SVM的核函数参数与惩罚参数进行全局优化,从而提升模型的泛化性能和预测精度。本文依托已有的建筑沉降样本数据,对比分析了IPSO-SVM、PSO-SVM、SVM和BP神经网络四种模型的预测效果。结果表明,引入PSO和IPSO优化后,SVM模型预测精度均显著提升,其中IPSO-SVM表现最佳,其预测结果的平均相对绝对偏差(AARD)为8.48%,决定系数(R2)为0.9369,均方根误差(RMSE)为2.6597,平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)为0.0848,预测的相对误差控制在11%以内。与PSO-SVM和传统SVM模型相比,IPSO-SVM的预测精度分别提高约5.4%和8.4%,均优于BP神经网络模型。研究结果表明,IPSO-SVM模型在建筑沉降预测中具有较高的准确性与稳定性,为建筑沉降预测方面的研究提供了新视角。

     

    Abstract: To improve the accuracy of building settlement prediction, a prediction model (IPSO-SVM) based on improved particle swarm optimization (IPSO) and support vector machine (SVM) is proposed. The IPSO algorithm was used to globally optimize parameters of SVM, so as to improve the generalization performance and prediction accuracy of the model. Based on the existing building settlement sample data, four models were compared and analyzed the prediction effects: IPSO-SVM, PSO-SVM, SVM and BP. The results show that the prediction accuracy of SVM model is significantly improved after the introduction of PSO and IPSO optimization. Among them, IPSO-SVM performs best. The AARD of the prediction results is 8.48%, R2 is 0.9369, RMSE is 2.6597, MAPE is 0.0848, and the relative error is controlled below the 11%. Compared with PSO-SVM and SVM model, the prediction accuracy of IPSO-SVM is improved by about 5.4% and 8.4% respectively, which is better than that of BP neural network model. The results show that the IPSO-SVM model has high accuracy and stability in building settlement prediction, which provides a new perspective for the study of building settlement prediction.

     

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